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February 5, 2025
In 2024, the Spanish economy showed positive dynamics driven by domestic consumption and tourism, which also introduced heterogeneity in regional developments. As a result, Mediterranean regions and the islands were generally the ones leading growth once again last year.
February 4, 2025
Asturias' GDP growth could reach 2.5% in 2024 and will continue with an increase of 2.0% in 2025 and 1.7% in 2026. This momentum will be supported by domestic demand and tourism, helped by falling inflation and interest rates and rising wages and employment.
February 4, 2025
Social Security affiliation declined due to seasonal factors (-242,100), while unemployment increased (38,700). However, after adjusting for seasonality, the number of contributors rose by 35,800, and the unemployed fell by 25,800. The impact of the dana on the labor market appears to have fully reversed.
January 29, 2025
The reactivation of the economy after the dana and the measures approved justify that in 2025 and 2026 growth could reach 2.7% if the aid arrives quickly and reaches the announced amount. Domestic demand will be supported by the fall in inflation and interest rates and by the increase in wages and employment.
January 28, 2025
Seasonally adjusted data shows a significant increase in both employment (0.8% q/q) and hours worked (1.2% q/q). The unemployment rate dropped to 10.8%, and the temporary employment rate decreased to 15.5%. In 2024, 471,700 jobs were created (2.2%), reducing the unemployment rate to 11.3%.
January 23, 2025
In 2024, growth is revised upwards due to the boost in domestic consumption and tourism. The end of the drought, the improvement of the European economy, and the reduction of interest rates will help sustain growth, affected by the impact of the dana and possible changes in tariff policy in the US.
January 9, 2025
This Working Paper provides a brief description of the latest update of RegData, a database containing the main economic and demographic aggregates for Spanish regions over the last seven decades.
January 3, 2025
Social Security enrollment increased by 35,500, and unemployment fell by 25,300. After adjusting for seasonality, the number of contributors rose by 37,700, while the number of unemployed dropped by 10,900. 2024 ended with 750,400 more affiliates and 602,400 fewer unemployed.
December 19, 2024
Fiscal consolidation is expected to accelerate in the final quarter of the year, bringing the public deficit closer to 3.0% of GDP. Fiscal adjustment in 2025 and 2026 will depend on the implementation of the new fiscal rules and the effectiveness of tax measures.
December 18, 2024
The GDP growth for 2023 published today by the INE is consistent with the scenario published by BBVA Research, which anticipated that the leadership would be located in the island regions. However, forecast errors were higher in some regions, such as La Rioja, Madrid, Catalonia and Aragon.
December 5, 2024
One month after DANA (week from November 26 to December 2), the majority of indicators in the province of Valencia show a similar evolution to that observed in the rest of Spain, highlighting the acceleration shown in spending by foreigners, car registrations and the most affected municipalities.
December 5, 2024
GDP growth in 2024 has been revised upward by 0.2 percentage points, reaching 3.1%, driven by stronger-than-expected performance in the third quarter and a slight acceleration in job creation in the fourth. Growth is projected at 2.3% in 2025 and could settle at 1.7% in 2026.
