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April 11, 2025
In its April meeting, the Board of the Central Bank decided to keep the policy rate at 4.75%. The monetary policy stance, understood as the real ex-ante reference rate, remains slightly above neutral.
April 9, 2025
The public deficit looks to have ended 2024 at 2.8% of GDP (excluding the funds set aside to support the victims of the flash floods that struck in October). It is exactly the size of the fiscal imbalance recorded back in 2019.
April 8, 2025
In March 2025 Colombia's total inflation decreased to an annual rate of 5.1% breaking a four-month period of stability or slight increase. This moderation was primarily driven by a decline in non-food inflation, particularly due to the regulated basket. March monthly inflation was 0.52% falling below analysts' expectations.
April 7, 2025
The last months of 2024 gave some glimpses of the challenges Latam could face in the coming years. However, looking beyond the first quarter of 2025, some—albeit not all—of these warning signs have faded.
April 7, 2025
In the 21st century, history is again being challenged by a wave of protectionism from the United States. President Donald Trump has just announced a barrage of tariffs that marks the country's biggest protectionist offensive in almost a century.
April 7, 2025
The latest Social Security enrollment figures for March come as welcome news for the Spanish economy, yet they are also a timely reminder that job creation alone is not enough in itself: we also need it to be more productive.
April 4, 2025
The Banco de la República kept its interest rate unchanged in March, in a context of mixed variables surrounding the decision. In the end, the Bank prioritized economic stability, offering a significant demonstration of independence and technical expertise.
April 4, 2025
This study analyzes the macroeconomic effects of carbon price shocks (EU-ETS) via a SVAR with Narrative Sign Restrictions. Facilitating identification and isolating shocks from demand factors, results indicate a stronger economic impact than previous carbon policy studies, but milder than recent works focused on the EU-ETS.
April 4, 2025
The 25% tariff that the United States will impose on automotive vehicles (beginning April 3) and auto parts (no later than May 3) will have an adverse impact on the global automotive industry. This is because automotive companies will have to increase production in the United States, reduce costs or raise prices.
April 4, 2025
The Big Data Private Consumption Index registered a yoy growth of 10.7% in March, accelerating from a 5.5% increase in February. The stronger growth was partly driven by two additional working days compared to the same month last year (as Easter was celebrated in March 2024).
April 3, 2025
Consumer inflation rose by 2.46% m/m, lower than both our expectation (3%) and the market consensus (2.9%), driving annual inflation down to 38.1%. We have revised our 2025 year-end inflation forecast to 32% from 29% on the expected pass-through from the recent currency depreciation.
April 3, 2025
On April 2, 2025, the White House issued an executive order introducing reciprocal tariffs aimed at regulating U.S. trade and reducing the trade deficit. A baseline 10% tariff will take effect on April 5, while country-specific reciprocal tariffs will be implemented starting April 9.
