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November 21, 2024
The CBRT kept the policy rate at 50% with important changes in their communication, signaling an easing cycle as early as December. We believe the CBRT will be required to start with very cautious steps and expect the first rate cut in December with 100bps.
November 20, 2024
Growth outlook remained weak, while the demand indicators point to a slower-than-desired correction. Considering tight financial conditions and the gradual moderation in domestic demand, we expect the economic growth to reach 3.2% in 2024 but downside risks are increasing on our 2.7% growth forecast for 2025.
November 20, 2024
Tourism in Colombia hit historic highs in 2023, marked by significant growth in international visitors, revenues, and employment. A diversified offer and domestic tourism drive the sector, yet challenges in infrastructure and sustainability demand focus to unlock its full potential.
November 19, 2024
Colombia's economy advanced in Q3 2024, with investment outpacing GDP and service exports reaching record highs. Private consumption showed a mixed dynamic, while public consumption detracted from growth. The GDP growth projection for 2024 remains at 2.0%.
November 18, 2024
Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential elections. What's more, the Republicans will hold the majority of both houses, allowing them to push through their fiscal plans. What promises has he made and, if he delivers them, how could they impact the global economy?
November 15, 2024
Activity advanced 3.2% year-on-year in September. By productive sectors, the behavior of the non-primary component of GDP stood out, and within this, that of some services, non-primary manufacturing (greater manufacturing of capital goods), and commerce.
November 15, 2024
Consumption in Colombia mirrors demographic and geographic shifts. With smaller households, an aging population, and healthier choices, spending on health and fresh foods rises, while intermediate cities gain economic importance. However, low savings limit future consumption potential.
November 15, 2024
Most indicators show an improvement in economic activity in Valencia during the week of November 5 to 11, although both the growth rates and, more importantly, the levels remain below what would have been observed without the DANA, particularly in the hardest-hit municipalities, where significant impacts are still evident.
November 15, 2024
Sectoral focus is crucial for Colombia's economic recovery, but this requires investment. In Colombia and globally, financing is largely reliant on own resources and bank loans, overlooking the potential of capital markets to fuel sectoral growth.
November 15, 2024
The new release includes significant updates mainly focused on the chronic physical risk assessment, driven by a new damage function aligned with the latest research, resulting in greater projected output losses.
