Publications

Here are all of our publications listed chronologically. You can also find the publications relating to single geography under “Publications by geography” or narrow down your search using the “Advanced filter”.

Latest publications on Geostrategy

Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. 29 December 2025

December 29, 2025

Trump–Zelensky Talks Fail to Deliver Peace Deal at Mar-a-Lago. China Launches Large‑Scale Military Drills Around Taiwan. The World Economic Policy Uncertainty relax at the end of the year.

Big Data techniques used

Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. 23 December 2025

December 23, 2025

International peace negotiations Ukraine-Russia conflict showed limited progress. EU Extends Sanctions on Russia. US Intercepts a third Oil tanker.

Global | Chartbook of International Commerce. December 2025

December 18, 2025

International trade continues to perform solidly despite rising protectionism. While U.S. tariffs have moderated following recent agreements and exemptions, they remain elevated and global trade imbalances persist. This points to short-term resilience, but with meaningful risks of greater fragmentation over the medium term.

Big Data techniques used

Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. 17 December 2025

December 17, 2025

Germany Set to Approve €50 Bn in Military Procurement Amid Rising Russia Threat. US Announces Blockade on Venezuelan Oil Tankers, Elevating Geopolitical Tension

Global | A somewhat more positive balance for the economy

December 15, 2025

The outlook for the global economy in the second half of the year is proving more positive than expected around April, when the protectionist shock from the US economy materialized.

Big Data techniques used

Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. 10 December 2025

December 10, 2025

Ukraine to submit a revised peace plan to the US as diplomacy intensifies. China & Russia conduct joint bomber patrol near Japan & South Korea. Machado will not attend to nobel ceremony.

Big Data techniques used

Global | A Brief History of the Future: Data, Text and AI for Smarter Policies

December 9, 2025

This presentation, delivered as a keynote lecture at the Bundesbank–SUERF Conference "AI and the Future of Central Banking", explores how artificial intelligence, big data, and advanced modelling are transforming economic analysis and the policy toolkit available to central banks.

Big Data techniques used

Global | BBVA Research Big Data Geopolitics Monitor. 02 December 2025

December 2, 2025

Diplomatic pressure rises as Russia shows no sign of backing down. Trump Launched “Genesis” Initiative to accelerate scientific discovery through AI.

Europe | Energy peace remains out of reach

December 1, 2025

Europe has managed to secure its gas supply one winter after another following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the market has taken note. But that doesn’t mean things are back to normal.

Global | The inertia of climate summits is not enough

December 1, 2025

COP30 leaves mixed feelings. The good news is that, even in a climate of global geopolitical fragmentation, there remains a forum where, despite the notable absence of the United States and its contrarian stance, decisions continue to be reached through global consensus.

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