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October 11, 2024

Colombia | Domestic demand takes the lead in driving Colombia’s recovery

Domestic demand is driving Colombia's economic recovery, with GDP projected to grow by 2.0% in 2024 and up to 3.5% by 2026. Investment and consumption, particularly in durable goods, will fuel growth, while inflation and interest rates continue to decline.

October 4, 2024

Mexico | Financial Regulation. September 2024

We present a summary and analysis of the most relevant developments and publications in Mexico's financial regulatory landscape.

October 3, 2024

Peru Economic Outlook. October 2024

GDP will grow 2.9% this year and 2.7% in 2025. Private spending will gain traction in the coming quarters, supported by more favourable financial conditions, the impact of private pension funds withdrawals, and the beginning of construction of some infrastructure projects, while public spending will moderate.

October 2, 2024

Peru | Prices decrease in September, surprising the market

September inflation decreased by 0.24% m/m. The result is explained by the decrease in the prices of some foods. The interannual rate was 1.8%.

October 1, 2024

Colombia Economic Outlook. October 2024

Domestic demand will lead Colombia’s economic recovery, driven by improved financial conditions that will strengthen consumption and investment. This will provide a significant boost to sectors such as manufacturing and retail. In the long run, increasing investment will be essential to raise the country’s growth potential.

September 26, 2024

US | Limited room for long-term yields to fall further if a soft landing remains in sight

Long-term yields have ceased from being driven by changes in inflation compensation, but they could decline markedly if markets begin to price in that the Fed will need to lower rates below neutral to avoid a recession.

September 24, 2024

Mexico | A 50bp cut from Banxico would be welcome, but a smaller 25bp move is more likely

In view of the lags of monetary policy, we think that Banxico is already late in adjusting the excessively high real ex-ante rate, and thus, the monetary policy stance is set to continue to weigh on the economy in the coming quarters.

September 19, 2024

Mexico | Monthly report on banking and the financial system. September 2024

The economic slowdown is already showing effects on banking activity. In July, credit to the non-financial private sector registered a widespread weakening, while traditional deposits grew less than in June, even considering the boosting effect of the exchange rate depreciation.