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March 29, 2025
Despite the economic slowdown, credit granted by commercial banks to the private sector grew 14.4% YoY in nominal terms. The balance of traditional bank deposits also grew at a nominal rate of 10.2% YoY. In both cases, businesses were the main driver behind this growth.
March 27, 2025
In a context of an economic slowdown, currency depreciation, and high interest rates, the financial system was characterized in 2024 by maintaining robust domestic financing sources, channeled primarily to the public sector and households through bank loans.
March 20, 2025
Credit growth accelerated throughout February beyond the growth caps. Therefore, the monthly growth limit has been reduced further for FC lending at the start of March. The CBRT aims not to allow demand conditions to contain the disinflation process, signaling new macro-prudential measures if necessary.
March 14, 2025
Colombia’s GDP will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue to decline but remain rigid in housing and energy. The external deficit will widen as domestic demand rises, while the central bank balances economic recovery with inflationary prudence.
March 13, 2025
Colombia’s economy will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue declining, though housing and energy costs will remain rigid. Monetary policy will gradually lower rates, while the external deficit will widen due to rising imports and lower remittance inflows.
March 9, 2025
Monthly inflation in February was 1.14%, while annual inflation stood at 5.28%. This result exceeded market analysts' expectations, as the Banco de la República survey had anticipated a monthly variation of 0.98%.
February 13, 2025
Spanish banks are rapidly translating the reduction in official interest rates to new lending operations' interest rates, which benefits borrowers. In the case of deposits, the transmission is slightly slower than in the hiking cycle, which benefits depositors.
February 11, 2025
Profitability and NIMs of the sector have started to improve in 4Q24, which will continue with the rate-cutting cycle of the CBRT. The monetary stance remains to be supported with the macro-prudential measures. We expect the ROE of deposit banks to barely improve to 30% by end 2025 from 28.4% at the end of 2024.
February 9, 2025
Monthly inflation in January was 0.94%, exceeding analysts' expectations (0.82% projected in the Central Bank of Colombia’s survey). As a result, the annual variation remained stable for the third consecutive month at approximately 5.22%.
February 5, 2025
The average national unemployment rate for 2024 was 10.2%, unchanged from 2023. In major cities, the unemployment rate declined between 2023 and 2024, whereas it increased in the rest of areas. Throughout 2024, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate trended downward, closing at 9.7% in December.
