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April 25, 2025
We develop big data-based, high-frequency sectoral indicators using bank transaction data to nowcast real-time sectoral GDP growth, enhancing accuracy through modeling techniques and strong alignment with official statistics.
April 21, 2025
The BBVA Research Big Data Consumption Indicator reported 1.7% growth in March (MoM), following the zero growth recorded the previous month. By component, both spending on goods and services registered positive variations (goods 1.5%, services 2.4%).
March 18, 2025
Using a panel data local projections model and controlling for firm characteristics, procurement bid attributes, and macroeconomic conditions, the study estimates the dynamic effects of procurement awards on new lending, a more precise measure than the change in the stock of credit.
March 11, 2025
Global financial volatility has risen due to the impact of evolving US policies, which we expect to create negative shocks. In Türkiye, financial conditions have recently eased above the neutral level and credit growth has accelerated beyond the capped segments, increasing the challenges on the inflation outlook.
