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January 10, 2024
Country Risk Annual Report 2024
Agencies’ ratings have remained relatively stable during 2023. Changes have been mostly positive in peripheral Europe, while US and France were downgraded by Fitch. The rating cycle has been mostly negative for Emerging Economies (EE), mainly due to specific idiosyncratic vulnerabilities.
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October 6, 2023
Mexico | Financial prevention and population who needs caregivers
In this press article, we emphasize the need for early financial inclusion based on the results of the National Survey for the Care System, which contains information on the demand for care of the population with a disability or dependency; minors under 17 years of age; and population over 60 years of age.
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December 15, 2022
Country Risk Annual Report 2022
Agency’s ratings have remained stable or changes have been positive in Advanced Economies (AE), despite the negative impact of the war in Ukraine and the monetary policy tightening. On the contrary, rating changes have been mostly negative for Emerging Economies (EE), although mainly due to idiosyncratic factors.
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December 2, 2021
Country Risk Annual Report 2021
Agencies’ Ratings have remained relative stable since the start of the COVID pandemic and through 2021. Changes have been mainly concentrated in Emerging Economies. Sovereign spreads have been clearly influenced by the strong and coordinated reaction of Central Banks in both Advanced Economies and Emerging Economies
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November 18, 2020
Country Risk Annual Report 2020
Agencies' sovereign ratings and sovereign spreads in the CDS markets have remained relatively stable over the past year despite the current pandemic crisis and the large fiscal and economic activity deterioration, mainly due to the unprecedented support from fiscal and monetary policies
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December 13, 2019
Country Risk Quarterly Report. Fourth Quarter 2019
Further improvement of sovereign risk measures across the board, driven by a protracted search for yield, against the background of supportive central bank policies, together with better incoming cyclical data, muted inflation and some de-escalation of global uncertainties (trade war)
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September 13, 2019
Country Risk Quarterly Report. Third Quarter 2019
The search for yield and looser monetary policies across the board, favor sovereign spreads compression, despite a worsening global outlook, poorer incoming data and balance of risks, and the lack of improvement of fiscal disequilibria.
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July 1, 2019
The global respite turns the focus toward local risks
Just as current medicine cannot predict exactly when someone will suffer a stroke or cancer, economic science cannot predict precisely when the next recession, financial crisis or sovereign default will occur.
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June 20, 2019
Country Risk Quarterly Report. Second Quarter 2019
Against a background of increasing concerns on economic cycle strength and uprise of global trade tensions, the central banks' more dovish tone helps that financial tensions and global risk aversion remain bounded.
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March 12, 2019
Country Risk Quarterly Report. First Quarter 2019
Global Risk Aversion experienced high volatility during the quarter, which was reflected mainly in equity markets, but not in sovereign CDS or emerging currencies markets. The improvement seen since the beginning of the year was favoured by the Fed's announcement of a more patient stance in its interest rate policy.
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January 2, 2019
Financial Resilience of Brazilian Households
Many individuals and households experience moments of financial difficulty, prompted either by a personal shock, such as losing a job, or an economy-wide shock, such as a recession. Financial resilience is key for consumer welfare and the formal financial system plays an important role.
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