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    December 11, 2019

    U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. December 2019

    Probability of recession in 12 months at one-year lows (30%). Financial conditions remain solid after Fed “mid-cycle” adjustment. Strong household finances supporting consumption.

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    November 4, 2019

    LatAm: Growth Is Low And Tensions Are High

    The outlook in Latin America in recent weeks has been marked by general elections in Argentina, Bolivia and Uruguay. This is in addition to extensive protests in Ecuador and Chile.

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    October 2, 2019

    Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. September 2019

    Mexico’s Banking and Securities Commission (CNBV), publishes its financial access report. New Digital Collection Scheme (CoDi) comes into operation. 1H19 saw the national producer price index in the construction sector grow by 3.1%. Expectations of lower commercial tensions support risk assets.

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    August 30, 2019

    U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. August 2019

    Models suggest 70% probability of recession within 24 months. Increased weakness in global growth. Policy uncertainty whipsawing with trade tensions. At times, key financial markets showing signs of panic-like conditions.

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    August 30, 2019

    Mexico | Monthly Report on Banking and the Financial System. August 2019

    Personal loans slow down, with lower average origination figures and higher interest rates in 2019. The share of customers who pay in full each month has grown in both the number of credit cards and the balance of credit granted. Banks granted better conditions for auto loans in 2018.

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    August 26, 2019

    Europe prepares for an uncertain fall

    Economic data and news this summer in Europe are disappointing; especially for the signs of vulnerability of the more open economies following the slight fall in production in Germany and the fading expectations that the main risks would diminish in the second half of the year.

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