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    BBVA Research Publications

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    April 4, 2025

    Global | Unraveling the impact of a carbon price shock on macroeconomic variables

    This study analyzes the macroeconomic effects of carbon price shocks (EU-ETS) via a SVAR with Narrative Sign Restrictions. Facilitating identification and isolating shocks from demand factors, results indicate a stronger economic impact than previous carbon policy studies, but milder than recent works focused on the EU-ETS.

    February 4, 2014

    Fiscal Sustainability and Economic Growth in Bolivia

    The paper proposes and apply a macroeconometric methodology which allows dissentangling the role played by fiscal sustainability shocks in the Bolivian economic growth performance

    February 3, 2014

    Technology, Employment, and the Oil-Countries' Business Cycle

    The study disentangles the role of technology, demand, and oil price shocks in Oil-Countries business cycle

    December 13, 2013

    Inference Based on SVARs Identied with Sign and Zero Restrictions: Theory and Applications

    Are optimism shocks an important source of business cycle fluctuations? Are decit-nanced tax cuts better than decit-nanced spending to increase output?