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    January 31, 2025

    Colombia | The positive signs of the sovereign rating

    Standard & Poor’s reaffirmed Colombia’s sovereign rating at BB+ with a negative outlook, highlighting economic recovery despite fiscal deterioration. The key now is sustainable growth, driven by investment. The next challenge will be Moody’s review, which still keeps Colombia at investment grade.

    December 18, 2024

    Global | Country Risk Annual Report 2025

    Overall, the past year has been positive in terms of the evolution of macroeconomic, fiscal and financial vulnerabilities in most countries globally.

    January 10, 2024

    Country Risk Annual Report 2024

    Agencies’ ratings have remained relatively stable during 2023. Changes have been mostly positive in peripheral Europe, while US and France were downgraded by Fitch. The rating cycle has been mostly negative for Emerging Economies (EE), mainly due to specific idiosyncratic vulnerabilities.

    January 20, 2022

    Mexico | Considerations about the credit ratings of Mexico

    In the following years public finances will continue to be pressured by the payment of pensions still remaining from the pay-as-you-go old system, guaranteed pensions and capital injections to Pemex.

    September 23, 2019

    Will sovereign risk premiums continue to fall?

    In recent months we have witnessed a notable compression in sovereign CDS at the global level, in an economic scenario that is full of uncertainty and in which public debt is at an all-time high.

    September 13, 2019

    Country Risk Quarterly Report. Third Quarter 2019

    The search for yield and looser monetary policies across the board, favor sovereign spreads compression, despite a worsening global outlook, poorer incoming data and balance of risks, and the lack of improvement of fiscal disequilibria.

    June 20, 2019

    Country Risk Quarterly Report. Second Quarter 2019

    Against a background of increasing concerns on economic cycle strength and uprise of global trade tensions, the central banks' more dovish tone helps that financial tensions and global risk aversion remain bounded.