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June 4, 2019
The escalation of disputes between Tehran and Washington created the major concern in the global geopolitical agenda. Europeans voted to elect their representatives in the European Parliament. British PM has resigned. The trade dispute between China and the United States could not be resolved yet.
May 7, 2019
The end of April was marked by the eruption of the Israel-Palestine dispute, which could enter into a more uncertain phase with renewed heavy clashes between Israel and Hamas. Iran related disputes escalated during the month. The US and China has begun new trade talks. Elections took place in Spain and in Ukraine. Situation in Venezuela is still fragile.
April 4, 2019
U.S. led forces have captured the last pocket of ISIS in Syria. In Venezuela, Russian material involvement could trigger more regional risks. In Asia, U.S. pressure on North Korea continues. In Algeria, instability continued during the month and led the president Bouteflika to step down his mandate. Social unrest should ease off from now on.
March 5, 2019
Massive protests erupted in Algeria after President Buteflika announced that he will run for a fifth term on Algeria’s Elections. Our social unrest tracker skyrocketed to levels not seen since the Arab Spring. A terrorist group based in Pakistan claimed responsibility over a suicide bomb in an Indian controlled region. India responded militarily in Pakistani territory.
February 6, 2019
Venezuela’s opposition leader Guaidó declared himself as the interim president. U.S. sanctioned Maduro administration and recognized his Presidency as well as some EU members. Meanwhile, geopolitical developments in Asia are positive as China and U.S. are in trade talks. U.S. came with a plan for a safe-zone in northern Syria, but involved parties, have different concerns.
August 6, 2018
The US has taken a tougher stance against Iran and the Iranians are responding with alarming threats. Both the regional balance of power and the security of oil supplies could be at risk. Mr.Trump’s meeting with Mr.Putin created a new round of domestic political discussions. Social unrest in some Middle Eastern countries create further geopolitical and economic risks.
July 5, 2018
Instability erupted in several cities of Iran over the worsening economic situation. Hardliners began putting pressure on the government and the U.S. strategy to impose sanctions for regime change accelerated. Trump – Kim Jong-Un summit seemed to lift nuclear related risks in Asia. Trump-Putin meeting in Helsinki on July 16 will be crucial for several regional issues.
June 6, 2018
The Trump administration canceled North Korea meeting after receiving negative remarks from Pyongyang. The US President announced the Summit would be reinstated on June 12. The US decision to withdrawn from the Iran Nuclear Deal gave birth to new geopolitical uncertainties. Elections in Iraq and Venezuela focused attention as the results are critical for regional issues.
May 11, 2018
Geopolitical tensions between Iran and US are in the spotlight after President Trump pulled out from Iran nuclear deal. North and South Korea set the geopolitical course towards peace and denuclearization. Several electoral processes are open in Middle East and Latin America, which could increase short-term political uncertainties and social noise in the coming months.
