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October 24, 2024
This Observatory evaluates the factors explaining the cyclical behavior of GDP and private consumption in Spain up to Q2 2024. It analyzes the supply and demand factors behind the GDP per working-age person (PET) gap of -1.3 pp from its trend level and the weaker performance of consumption compared to pre-pandemic levels.
December 13, 2022
The BBVA Research Big Data Consumption Indicator fell (-)3.4% MaM in November, taking the average monthly variation for 4Q22 to (-)1.2% (vs -0.7% in the first two months of 3Q22), with real figures seasonally adjusted.
October 20, 2022
In September, total consumption with BBVA cards fell 9.4% YoY in real terms. Most of the categories contracted their average real spending level per transaction, remaining below the pre-pandemic level. Our indicators point to a flattening of economic activity.
September 15, 2022
In August, total consumption with BBVA cards fell 2.9% YoY in real terms, thus returning to negative ground after July's increase. Most of the items contracted after the good performance they had had last month.
September 8, 2022
A monetary policy that carries the reference interest rate to an excessively restrictive terrain in a context where long-term inflation expectations remain well anchored can have counterproductive effects.
September 2, 2022
In August, consumption growth stabilized at levels similar to those observed in July, although below those of previous months. There was a weaker performance of goods consumption and a reduction in credit card spending. By city, Bogota maintained the best dynamics among the main cities.
August 10, 2022
Como en una prueba de resistencia atlética, la economÃa debe reducir la velocidad para que el crecimiento económico sea sostenible a largo plazo. Es mejor guardar energÃas para los siguientes años. La maratón económica no es un objetivo de corto plazo: es una meta que se logra paso a paso.
July 8, 2022
In June, consumption moderated despite a VAT-free day with a significant positive impact. Spending on services slowed the most. Still, consumption growth remains at high rates.
