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August 9, 2024

Colombia | In July, annual inflation resumed its downward trend, standing at 6.9%

In July, monthly inflation was 0.20% and annual inflation was 6.86%, close to market analysts' expectations, according to Banco de la República's survey (0.28%) and our forecast (0.24%). With this, the result is 32 bps below the previous month's figure.

July 9, 2024

Colombia | Annual inflation remains stable for the second month in a row in June, at 7.2%

In June, monthly inflation was 0.32%, and annual inflation was 7.18%, slightly higher than the previous month's figure. The result was close to the expectations of market analysts who, according to Banco de la República's survey, expected a monthly variation of 0.28%.

May 6, 2024

Global | From short-term chaos to long-term uncertainty

Commodity prices are front and center in global economic discussions. The last two months have seen the cost of oil rise by around 10%, alongside significant volatility. This has a lot to do with the short-term chaos.

February 26, 2024

Global | Oil price, possible tailwinds

The oil market remains at the center of the global spotlight. This has been the case for some months now due to the outbreak of the war between Israel and Hamas, a confrontation reminiscent of the most difficult moments of the oil market in the 1970s.

December 26, 2023

Spain | Higher costs for businesses

Although energy and borrowing costs may be falling, businesses will have other challenges to contend with in 2024, including the risk of changes in labor regulation and taxation.

July 24, 2023

Global | Oil: the pulse between demand and supply

Having passed the halfway point of the year, it is important to reflect on the behavior of the oil market, and to take note of the lessons learned for the second half of 2023.

June 21, 2023

Mexico | Banxico is set to hold the policy rate steady

With falling inflation and a strong peso, we expect Banxico to start a rate cut cycle in 4Q23 to avoid an additional increase in the already very high ex-ante real rate

June 21, 2023

Spain | Regional finances in 2022 and between 2003 and 2022

This Working Paper analyzes the trend in regional revenues and expenditures, including the sector's budget balance and its debt position from 2003 through to the present day.

April 29, 2023

Mexico | Good signs of inflation; Banxico rightly points to a pause

This week the inflation rate for the first half of April was announced. It was a good number that confirms that the disinflationary process in Mexico is underway.

April 3, 2023

Spain | Long series of GVA and regional employment by sector, 1955-2021

This Working Paper briefly describes the latest update of the sectoral module of the RegData FEDEA-BBVA database (see de la Fuente 2017 and 2023 and de la Fuente and Ruiz Aguirre, 2020).

January 13, 2023

Colombia | Analysis of the underlying inflation through trimmed means

One of the non-forward-looking tools used for inflation analysis by central banks and academia in general is core inflation, but it may include distortions that lead to misleading conclusions. This paper explores trimmed means as an alternative.