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    February 9, 2025

    Colombia | Inflation remained at 5.2% for the third consecutive month

    Monthly inflation in January was 0.94%, exceeding analysts' expectations (0.82% projected in the Central Bank of Colombia’s survey). As a result, the annual variation remained stable for the third consecutive month at approximately 5.22%.

    December 9, 2024

    Spain | The impact on the economy of the increase in US trade tariffs

    It may well be negative in the short run, although it should be cushioned by the relatively low direct exposure of the Spanish economy to trade with the US. In the medium term, the outcome will be determined by the goals set by the new US President and the economic policy responses, both in the eurozone and in Spain.

    August 9, 2024

    Colombia | In July, annual inflation resumed its downward trend, standing at 6.9%

    In July, monthly inflation was 0.20% and annual inflation was 6.86%, close to market analysts' expectations, according to Banco de la República's survey (0.28%) and our forecast (0.24%). With this, the result is 32 bps below the previous month's figure.

    July 9, 2024

    Colombia | Annual inflation remains stable for the second month in a row in June, at 7.2%

    In June, monthly inflation was 0.32%, and annual inflation was 7.18%, slightly higher than the previous month's figure. The result was close to the expectations of market analysts who, according to Banco de la República's survey, expected a monthly variation of 0.28%.

    May 6, 2024

    Global | From short-term chaos to long-term uncertainty

    Commodity prices are front and center in global economic discussions. The last two months have seen the cost of oil rise by around 10%, alongside significant volatility. This has a lot to do with the short-term chaos.

    February 26, 2024

    Global | Oil price, possible tailwinds

    The oil market remains at the center of the global spotlight. This has been the case for some months now due to the outbreak of the war between Israel and Hamas, a confrontation reminiscent of the most difficult moments of the oil market in the 1970s.

    December 26, 2023

    Spain | Higher costs for businesses

    Although energy and borrowing costs may be falling, businesses will have other challenges to contend with in 2024, including the risk of changes in labor regulation and taxation.

    July 24, 2023

    Global | Oil: the pulse between demand and supply

    Having passed the halfway point of the year, it is important to reflect on the behavior of the oil market, and to take note of the lessons learned for the second half of 2023.

    June 21, 2023

    Mexico | Banxico is set to hold the policy rate steady

    With falling inflation and a strong peso, we expect Banxico to start a rate cut cycle in 4Q23 to avoid an additional increase in the already very high ex-ante real rate

    June 21, 2023

    Spain | Regional finances in 2022 and between 2003 and 2022

    This Working Paper analyzes the trend in regional revenues and expenditures, including the sector's budget balance and its debt position from 2003 through to the present day.