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November 19, 2020

Exchange rate effect and prices would decrease oil revenues, even with a larger production

The dynamics of nominal GDP (in USD) from oil mining are closely related to the oil revenues of the federal government. In Mexico, as a price-taker in the international market, such dynamics are determined by the evolution of oil prices, the volume of production and the exchange rate.

February 17, 2016

U.S. | Oil Prices: Black Gold or a Black Hole?

Current market conditions still suggest further oil price declines. As oversupply shrinks, a rebound in prices is likely. High uncertainty from economic slowdown, financial volatility and policy responses. Structural trends point to a lower oil price equilibrium

December 14, 2015

The price of oil: the new embodiment of abundance

On December 4th, representatives of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) gathered to discuss a potential cutback in crude production and move to neutralise the falling price. The failure to come to any agreement surprised nobody.