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December 20, 2024
The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits accelerated from 0.3% to 1%. The acceleration was due to both consumer and commercial credits in the sector. Its 4w trend continued to move upwards for the 3rd week in a row and reached almost 0.7% (highest since June’24).
December 6, 2024
Profitability and NIMs of the banking sector stay under pressure due to high funding and RR costs and regulatory lending caps We expect the easing cycle of the CBRT to be a cautious combination of both rate cuts and easing over deposit and credit rules, helping the sector recover gradually 1Q25 onwards.
November 15, 2024
Since Nov 8th was the day for finalizing credit growth monthly caps, the weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits decelerated further from 0.5% to 0.2% due to consumer credits in the sector. 4w trend rate of total credit growth remained stable at 0.4%.
November 8, 2024
On the week of 1st November, the weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits slightly decelerated from 0.6% to 0.5% due to both consumer and commercial credits in the sector. However, last 2 weeks’ push moved up the trend rate of total credit growth a bit.
October 25, 2024
On the week of 18th October, the weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits decelerated sharply from 0.2% to 0.05% led by the contraction in consumer credits of public banks. Trend rate of total credit growth continued to move down as well.
October 11, 2024
The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits decelerated in the first week of October from 1% to 0.4% due to both consumer and commercial credits in the overall sector. The upward move in total credits’ both 4 week and 13w trend rates imply though only a moderation in credit growth.
October 4, 2024
The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits accelerated in the last week of September from 0.3% to almost 1% due to strong increase in consumer credits in the overall sector. The 13w trend of credit growth as of end of 3Q’24 implies some deceleration with 25% compared to 30% in 2Q’24 (35% 1Q’24).
September 6, 2024
The weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits continued to decelerate in the last week of August from 0.9% to 0.6% due to commercial credits in the sector and consumer credits of private banks. Total credits’ 4 week average trend fell to 0.4%.
