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November 11, 2020
We continue to think that Banxico will move in 25bp steps from here until the policy rate reaches 3.0% (in May 2021). We continue to expect that Banxico will slash rates further than currently expected, as Banxico keeps them close to 0% in real terms.
November 10, 2014
In the first case we maintain our forecast that inflation will maintain its downward path and will be within the target range by the end of the year; we reiterate our expectation of additional adjustments in the Selic rate. In Chile we estimate that inflation will end the year well above the central bank’s projection, which we expect to keep its neutral bias for the MPR and hold the current level for the time being. Annual inflation has started to decline in Mexico, without demand-side pressures. We remain confident that inflation will close the year below 4.0%.
