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June 12, 2019

U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. June 2019

Models suggest more than 70% probability of recession within the next 24 months. Shadow banking, business debt and risk appetite represent major red flags. Dovish Fed response has potential to negate downside risks in short-term.

June 28, 2017

Retail or not retail. Have European banks become more retail on the wake of the crisis?

In early 2017, retail banking activities represented 30% of EU banks’ balance sheet. The crisis triggered an increase in the orientation of banks towards their core banking activities. Driven by market forces and new regulation, retail deposits expanded from 22% of the balance sheet to almost 30%.