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October 21, 2024
Latam | Low growth: not just a fleeting phenomenon
In recent years, the main economies of Latin America have successfully achieved a rapid and marked adjustment in their monetary policy in an attempt to curb rising inflation. Today, most of them have inflation at around their average for the last 10 years.
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October 18, 2024
Türkiye: Weekly Banking Tracker, 11 October 2024
Since Oct 11th was the day for finalizing credit growth monthly caps, the weekly growth of FX-adjusted credits decelerated further to 0.2% from 0.4% mainly on top of commercial credits in the overall sector, which brought down the trend rate of total credit growth as well.
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October 17, 2024
Europe | ECB hastens the easing cycle
The ECB cut its key interest rates by 25 basis points, as expected, following signals given by Lagarde in September in her speech at the European Parliament, due to lower inflation and weak activity data. We expect another 25 basis point cut in December.
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October 16, 2024
Europe | Inflation converging to target, growth in play
The European Central Bank (ECB) can take satisfaction from recent inflation data from the eurozone. Much of the downside surprise has been due to the drop in oil, but there is also some progress in services prices. Coupled with economic weakness, the scenario is a further interest rate cut.
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October 7, 2024
Global | Controlled slowdown in a turbulent environment
Looking at the performance of the global economy, it is striking to see the difference between the relative success of central banks and policymakers in achieving a soft landing for both growth and inflation, and the immense uncertainty resulting from the political and geopolitical environment.
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September 2, 2024
Spain | Monetary policy and banking variables in 2024
The year 2023 ended with a declining banking sector marked by the contraction of credit and the slowdown in deposits due to the ECB's restrictive monetary policy. However, the easing of interest rates and this monetary policy in 2024 has improved credit performance and boosted growth of deposits
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August 19, 2024
Global | Currencies hold up in a challenging environment
The first half of 2024 has been a period of high volatility in the foreign exchange markets, with various changing factors significantly influencing behavior. Ultimately, since the beginning of the year, there have been moderate depreciations in emerging currencies and, to a lesser extent, in the euro against the dollar.
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August 7, 2024
Global | New times for investment?
Investment in fixed capital has grown strongly in recent years in a number of geographies. Recent trends indicate that digital technologies such as artificial intelligence and the energy transition will help sustain, and even accelerate, investment spending.
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July 1, 2024
Latam | Different rhythms in economic policy
The last two years in Latin America have been marked by differences in macroeconomic policy strategies. Chile and Peru have made significant interest rate reductions as their inflation has allowed. Meanwhile, Colombia and Mexico are more reluctant to implement significant reductions in their rates.
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