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November 12, 2021
Spain | The economic storm clouds are gathered mainly in the North
In the last few months, a depression appears to have arrived that has poured cold water on economic forecasts — affecting in particular the autonomous communities of the North. This correction, however, does not stop us from repeating once again that in both 2021 and 2022, growth is expected to reach historical highs.
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October 25, 2021
Spain | Reversion to the average
This week, the Spanish National Institute of Statistics (INE) publishes its first estimate of 3Q21 GDP and it is very likely to show an acceleration in economic growth. This is a result of the atypical figures recorded in 2Q21 reverting back to more normal values in 3Q21.
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May 28, 2021
Spain | Saving during the pandemic
Spain was the Eurozone country that recorded the largest rebound in the household saving rate in the first half of last year. Health restrictions and the fear of contagion were the main factors behind the increase in family savings.
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February 25, 2021
Peru | Real-time analysis of the impact of COVID-19 on consumption (up to February 22)
In February, total card consumption fell 4,3% YoY (26,9% in January 2021). There was a strong increase in the share of on-line card purchases, consistent with the new reimposition of lockdowns.
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June 5, 2020
Spain | Catalonia sees an unprecedented and heterogeneous fall in consumption
The drop in household spending is unprecedented. BBVA's credit card spending data went from an increase of around 10% in Catalonia before the state of alarm to a drop of almost 60% following its implementation.
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February 8, 2019
Consumption Outlook 2H18
Consumption growth, following steady progress in H2 2018, will slow to 2.1% in 2019 and to 1.8% in 2020 as a result of a lower contribution of financial wealth, a disappearance of pent-up demand and increased uncertainty. Fiscal stimuli, increased real estate wealth and steady progress in terms of financing will enable expenditure to be sustained.
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July 6, 2018
Consumption Outlook. First half 2018
Private consumption surprised on the upside in early 2018. Growth will pick up to 2.6% in 2018, slowing to 2.1% in 2019. Incomes, housing wealth and credit will continue to show strength. The fiscal impulse included in the Peruvian annual budget for 2018 will offset the increase in oil prices and the implications of the current uncertainty.
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