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April 21, 2023

México | Household saving during the Covid-19 pandemic.

We study mexican households savings and consumer credit patterns through the Covid-19 pandemic and the dynamics of these variables during the reopening period.

February 20, 2023

Spain | And then it was gone

Household net financial wealth fell in real terms in 2022. The nest egg built up during the pandemic diminished dramatically during the year, potentially capping growth in domestic demand going forward.

March 10, 2022

Spain | War economy

The sanctions imposed on Russia will impact negatively on the Spanish economy. There are few direct transmission channels, but the indirect ones could put a brake on recovery in the next few months.

May 28, 2021

Spain | Saving during the pandemic

Spain was the Eurozone country that recorded the largest rebound in the household saving rate in the first half of last year. Health restrictions and the fear of contagion were the main factors behind the increase in family savings.

February 25, 2021

Big Data techniques used

Peru | Real-time analysis of the impact of COVID-19 on consumption (up to February 22)

In February, total card consumption fell 4,3% YoY (26,9% in January 2021). There was a strong increase in the share of on-line card purchases, consistent with the new reimposition of lockdowns.

October 26, 2020

Spain | Expecting the unexpected

Economists are getting used to expecting the unexpected. The unprecedented fall in Spain's GDP—seen during the first half of the year—was followed by one of the highest growth rates ever recorded.

June 5, 2020

Spain | Catalonia sees an unprecedented and heterogeneous fall in consumption

The drop in household spending is unprecedented. BBVA's credit card spending data went from an increase of around 10% in Catalonia before the state of alarm to a drop of almost 60% following its implementation.

July 24, 2019

Consumption Outlook. First half 2019

The running out of tailwinds, the smaller increase in financial wealth and consumer financing and the rise in uncertainty will slow down the growth household consumption expenditure to 1.8% in 2019 and 1.7% in 2020

February 8, 2019

Consumption Outlook 2H18

Consumption growth, following steady progress in H2 2018, will slow to 2.1% in 2019 and to 1.8% in 2020 as a result of a lower contribution of financial wealth, a disappearance of pent-up demand and increased uncertainty. Fiscal stimuli, increased real estate wealth and steady progress in terms of financing will enable expenditure to be sustained.

July 6, 2018

Consumption Outlook. First half 2018

Private consumption surprised on the upside in early 2018. Growth will pick up to 2.6% in 2018, slowing to 2.1% in 2019. Incomes, housing wealth and credit will continue to show strength. The fiscal impulse included in the Peruvian annual budget for 2018 will offset the increase in oil prices and the implications of the current uncertainty.