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November 14, 2024
Sales of goods abroad are 2.4% below the levels of two years ago. In that time, exports of services have increased by 24% and GDP has increased by 5.6%. This divergence is not normal.
September 23, 2024
Inflation is falling and over the coming months various factors are expected to place it around, or below, 2%. Nonetheless, pressure from higher labor costs and geopolitical uncertainty could make for a bumpy ride.
April 8, 2024
There is good news for the European Central Bank (ECB) thanks to the clear reduction of inflationary pressures, led by the slowdown in the prices of industrial goods, energy and food — and, to a lesser extent, by services, which still show a very persistent behavior.
October 12, 2023
Industrial production (IP) declined by 0.8% m/m in seasonal and calendar adjusted series, while increasing by 3.1% y/y on calendar adjusted terms. We expect GDP to materialize close to 4.5% in 2023, whereas gradual interest rate hikes on top of relatively supportive fiscal policy could lead 3.5% growth in 2024.
July 10, 2023
Spanish exports increased by 12.9% from 4Q19 to 1Q23. By comparison, GDP would have barely returned to its pre-pandemic level during that period, while private consumption and investment were 4.8% and 3.7% below 4Q19 levels.
July 26, 2021
At the end of 1H21, both headline and core inflation remained stable, although at opposite extremes. The former, very high at 2.7% yoy, and the latter relatively low, at 0.2% yoy. Short-term risks exist of a rise in core inflation.
