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March 26, 2025
Activity grew again by 0.8% QoQ in 4Q24, driven by domestic demand despite sluggish external demand. GDP growth was supported by increased hours worked, as productivity declined. Overall, GDP grew by 3.2% in 2024, and BBVA Research forecast growth of around 2.8% for 2025.
March 26, 2025
In 2024, the Balearic Islands' GDP could have grown by 3.5%, and is expected to increase by 3.2% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026. This strength is explained by foreign tourism, which remains strong but is approaching the limits of its capacity, and by domestic demand in which consumption is beginning to gain prominence.
March 25, 2025
In 2025, GDP is expected to grow by 5.5%, driven by consumption and investment, within a context of disinflationary consolidation and fiscal-monetary discipline. However, two key challenges remain: maintaining fiscal austerity during an election year and making significant progress in normalizing the foreign exchange market
March 19, 2025
Tourism and consumption continue to drive growth toward the Mediterranean and the islands in 2025, but the prospect of a slowdown persists toward 2026 in a context of high uncertainty that delays the acceleration of export-producing regions.
March 17, 2025
GDP grew 4.1% year-on-year in January. By productive sector, the primary component stood out (up 4.4%) due to the strong expansion of the fishing sector and the resulting expansion of primary manufacturing. The non-primary component grew 3.2%.
March 17, 2025
Amid the current environment, uncertainty over the trend in global (mainly) and local economic policy is currently very high, which can have significant and hard to predict consequences on the decisions of households and businesses alike.
March 14, 2025
Colombia’s GDP will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue to decline but remain rigid in housing and energy. The external deficit will widen as domestic demand rises, while the central bank balances economic recovery with inflationary prudence.
March 11, 2025
Global financial volatility has risen due to the impact of evolving US policies, which we expect to create negative shocks. In Türkiye, financial conditions have recently eased above the neutral level and credit growth has accelerated beyond the capped segments, increasing the challenges on the inflation outlook.
February 28, 2025
The Turkish economy grew by 1.7% q/q in 4Q24, close to our expectations, leading to 3.2% y/y growth in 2024. Our monthly GDP nowcast shows a continuation of the recovery trend in 1Q25 with a 1-1.5% q/q growth as flash indicators signal as of February.
February 26, 2025
Aragon's GDP growth in 2024 could have reached 3.0%, and will continue with an increase of 2.2% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026. The dynamism is supported by domestic demand, favoured by the fall in inflation and interest rates and the increase in wages and employment.
February 24, 2025
So far, the impact of the Next Generation EU funds on investment and productivity has been less than expected. However, with a broad consensus and structural reforms, Spain should be able to realize its potential and consolidate more solid, sustainable, and productive growth.
