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November 4, 2024
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has just published its three flagship reports analyzing the state of play and policy recommendations on the economy (WEO), fiscal policy (Fiscal Monitor) and the financial environment (GFSR). Excellent readings with very elaborate recommendations.
October 21, 2024
Spain faces a fiscal adjustment of around 2.5 percentage points of GDP over the next few years. Its debt and public deficit levels make it vulnerable and must be improved through a more efficient set of public policies.
October 15, 2024
GDP growth forecasts have been revised upwards by 0.4 percentage points for 2024 to reach 2.9%, and by 0.3 pp for 2025 to reach 2.4%. This is due to statistical revisions of historical data, recent developments more favorable than expected, and improved estimates of external and internal demand contributions.
July 1, 2024
The last two years in Latin America have been marked by differences in macroeconomic policy strategies. Chile and Peru have made significant interest rate reductions as their inflation has allowed. Meanwhile, Colombia and Mexico are more reluctant to implement significant reductions in their rates.
July 1, 2024
Spain has managed to stay out of the Excessive Deficit Procedure and has no significant economic imbalances, according to the recent European Semester assessment. However, the Commission still identifies important challenges regarding fiscal consolidation and improving future economic performance for sustained growth.
June 14, 2024
GDP growth forecast for 2024 is raised to 2.5% thanks to the good performance of external demand, the increase in the labor force, and the execution of Recovery Plan funds. However, it will moderate to 2.1% in 2025, largely due to constraints in tourism growth.
May 3, 2024
Spain has committed to undertake a huge fiscal adjustment over the next few years. While the impact on the economy will depend on its composition, evidence suggests that it may be significant. Even if this is not the case, it will create social tension.
January 27, 2021
The expenditure growth stabilization and the strength shown by taxes, lead to lower the deficit forecast for 2020 to 11.5% of GDP. The Recovery funds represent an opportunity to favor fiscal adjustment and resume the downward path of public debt.
February 5, 2020
Budget execution data up to Nov-19 anticipate a further structural deterioration of the structural balance during 2019. For 2020-2021, and pending the completion of the new government's budget programme, the recently approved measures maintain the expansionary tone of fiscal policy
