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November 1, 2024
The Board of Banrep reduced its monetary policy rate by 50 bps, bringing it to 9.75%. This decision was split, with 4 members in favor of the 50 bp reduction and three members voting for a larger reduction of 75 bp. The balance reached at the last meeting remain unchanged.
October 1, 2024
The Board of Banrep reduced its monetary policy rate by 50 bps, bringing it to 10.25%. This decision was split, with 4 members favoring the 50 bp reduction and three members voting for a larger reduction of 75 bp.
July 18, 2024
As expected, the ECB leaves its monetary policy unchanged and leaves the door open for a rate cut at the next meeting in September, awaiting for more data on wages, profit margins and productivity that confirm its inflation outlook.
March 7, 2024
This meeting further supports the expectation of an initial rate cut in June in line with our forecasts. The updated projections match our own. Nevertheless, the ECB needs to verify that core inflation, particularly from services and consequently wages, moderates as expected.
February 23, 2024
This Agenda presents the 2024 dissemination schedule for economic indicators and relevant monetary policy events in Mexico and the US; dates of important events such as the meetings of various relevant international entities such as: World Economic Forum, World Bank and the IMF
February 9, 2024
When the central bank initiates a rate reduction cycle, all eyes are focused on commercial banks and how market rates adjust. So far, market rates have fallen significantly more than those of the BanRep.
January 25, 2024
All in all, today's ECB meeting did not provide much new information. As anticipated, no change in interest rates was decided. The focus was on the ECB's tone about the timing of initial rate cuts. The conveyed message was relatively dovish, with Lagarde not ruling out an early cut
July 27, 2023
Our forecast still leans towards a further rate hike in September (reaching a terminal rate of 4% for the deposit rate); however, recent data weaknesses and ECB communications before and during the meeting have increased the likelihood of a potential pause and the possibility of no further hikes.
May 18, 2023
With this decision, Banxico ended the fastest ever rate-hiking cycle, acknowledged that a "disinflationary phase is underway" but stated that it will keep the policy rate “at its current level for an extended period”
May 4, 2023
Overall, today’s meeting makes it clear that following the widely expected next rate hike in June (to 3.50%/4.00%, depo/refi rate), more rate increases are quite likely, although they will also depend on the nature of incoming activity data and, in particular, inflation data
