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September 3, 2024
In the second quarter of 2024, the current account deficit stood at 1.6% of GDP, the lowest level since 2009. FDI fell to 2.75% of GDP, though it was sufficient to finance the deficit. The deficit is expected to close 2024 at around 3% of GDP.
May 27, 2024
The trade balance reversed its behavior of the end of last year and posted a deficit in the first quarter of 2024. Given the stylized fact that the trade balance shows a countercyclical behavior, this deficit reflects that the Mexican economy reassumed its growth path at the beginning of the year.
January 10, 2024
We discuss important issues on the recent FDI drop: how serious is it? Is the ongoing FDI drop structural or cyclical? Should China need FDI as much as before? How should Chinese government lure the FDI back and guide them in high-end manufacturing?
November 10, 2023
In the first half of 2023, FDI accounted for 5.8% of GDP and financed more than the entire current account deficit. current account deficit. Increasing FDI flows, especially those other than reinvestment of profits, is a desirable objective in a context of energy transition.
August 30, 2022
The growing geopolitical uncertainties between the United States and China were, to some extent, a determining factor in the increased regulations by advanced countries to discriminate against the flow of funds from China. In this context, China began to turn towards the southern hemisphere when directing its investments.
May 17, 2021
It is important to understand what was going on in the past year’s BoP abnormalities and to predict this year’s BoP items while investigating the sustainability of these abnormalities.
November 22, 2016
China’s share of global ODI stocks may be larger than previously thought if we factor in Hong Kong’s role as an offshore center. That said, our estimates show that MOFCOM figures overstate ODI flows, raising questions regarding the country’s status as a net creditor.
June 8, 2015
In this paper we recalculate China's Outbound Foreign Direct Investments (ODI) in a way which accounts for round-tripping and offshoring. Our estimates show that China's ODI flows and stocks may have been overestimated and may be more diversified that previously thought.
