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November 14, 2024

Spain | From the cyclical to the structural: Why are exports of goods not advancing?

Sales of goods abroad are 2.4% below the levels of two years ago. In that time, exports of services have increased by 24% and GDP has increased by 5.6%. This divergence is not normal.

October 15, 2024

Spain Economic Outlook. October 2024

GDP growth forecasts have been revised upwards by 0.4 percentage points for 2024 to reach 2.9%, and by 0.3 pp for 2025 to reach 2.4%. This is due to statistical revisions of historical data, recent developments more favorable than expected, and improved estimates of external and internal demand contributions.

June 27, 2024

Uruguay Economic Outlook. June 2024

After a weak GDP growth of 0.4% in 2023, activity will grow 3.2% in 2024 due to the recovery of the agricultural sector, hydroelectric power generation and private consumption. Even so, reforms are needed to gain competitiveness and maintain a sustainable growth path.

March 8, 2024

Argentina Economic Outlook. March 2024

Javier Milei's government took office aiming to have a less regulated and more market friendly economy with the private sector as the main driver of economic growth. The core of his macroeconomic policy is to achieve fiscal equilibrium and eliminate monetary issuance to cover public spending as of 2024.

November 20, 2020

Uruguay | Export performance in 2020

Uruguay has reduced its trade openness in recent years, which was boosted in 2020 by the irruption of the Covid-19, causing a substantial drop in external demand, which will explain much of the fall in Uruguay's GDP to 4.1% this year.

April 16, 2019

Portugal | Growth outlook for the two-year period revised down

After Portuguese GDP grew at an average rate of 2 .1% YoY during 2018, BBVA Research forecasts that its growth rate will moderate to around 1.5% in 2019. This scenario is in a context of a slowing global economy, particularly in Europe. Even so, the recovery will continue, supported by positive momentum in domestic demand, which will enable GDP to rise by 0.3% in 1Q19.