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November 1, 2024
Remittances show high volatility in the first 9 months of 2024: 5 months with growth and 4 months with falls. Possibly, the tense electoral environment in the US has an impact on the flow of new migrants and the migrant population residing in that country.
November 1, 2022
Remittances add up to a streak of 29 consecutive months of growth, which began in May 2020. Latinos constitute up to 34.3 million voters in the US, 14.0% of the voter registry in the elections on November 8, surpassing the self-identified population as only African American, Asian, and Native American.
November 11, 2020
Preliminary results from the 2020 general election map a trajectory in which Democrats have narrowly flipped the “blue wall” states which went to Trump in 2016 and created a buffer by winning Nevada, Arizona and Georgia.
November 3, 2020
1) the expansion of the border wall, 2) the possible tax on remittances, 3) the policy of apprehensions and the migration discourse, 4) the future of the Dreamers, and 5) the policy for asylum seekers, mainly Central Americans, and the program "Stay in Mexico."
October 30, 2020
Motivating disaffected voters in key swing states could determine the election. Preliminary data suggests Democrats have commanding lead in early mail-in voting. Available early in-person voting shows Republicans have an edge.
October 23, 2020
Pandemic and election could add noise to short-term outlook, but medium-term prospects improving. Baseline assumes GDP growth of -4.6% in 2020 and 3.8% in 2021. Pace of decline in unemployment to slow as persistent headwinds increase.
September 24, 2020
President’s approval ratings continue recovering, but remain below pre-Covid levels. With most states taking steps to accommodate the Covid-19 crisis, 78% of voters will have the option to cast an absentee ballot without any limitation.
July 21, 2020
The 2020 presidential election will be highly influenced by the health crisis, the economic recession, polarization and microtargeting. Based on polling data and in-house models, the Democrats are the odds-on-favorite to win the Presidency and the House, and could possibly flip the Senate.
