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March 23, 2021
Colombia | Lessons from the pandemic to economists
The pandemic has generated challenges and changes to the work of economists. In this process, it has become more necessary than ever to be analytical, to innovate strategies, to go back in time and to look for new scenarios within and outside the discipline in order to provide possible answers to uncertainty.
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February 26, 2021
Mexico | Economic liberalism is compatible with the fight against inequality
The following argument is common: economic liberalism can generate more wealth but it also results in greater inequality, so it should not be the way to go. There is the false notion, ingrained among many leftist parties, that the market economy cannot coexist with redistributive policies.
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May 6, 2020
Monitoring Covid-19 pandemic using Big Data from the media
Media stress, positively correlated with new infections, has eased off lately. Sectors’ stresses vary depending on their nature. Politics is the center of the debate. Media stress related to governments diminishes as they start lifting lockdown measures, but there is a bias between the international and the national one.
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March 26, 2020
When will the U.S. economy recover from the infection?
The current crisis represents an unprecedented risk to the U.S. economy as the fallout from the coronavirus has created a confluence of supply- and demand-side shocks coupled with a financial meltdown.
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March 25, 2020
Mexico | Impact of Covid-19 on the economy: inaction is more dangerous than overreaction
This is a time when decisions must be made quickly; what is decided will have significant consequences. Drastic measures to ensure that people isolate are urgent, “desirable” and absolutely necessary.
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September 27, 2019
Colombia| Economic analysis: competition and work more than welcome
A new Congress initiative seeks to create a barrier to the active and competitive participation of economists in issues related to the profession, creating rents to particular institutions and limiting the arrival of new voices to the arena. We insist that the Congress agenda should rather be used in more urgent maters.
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July 30, 2018
Turkey Economic Outlook. Third quarter 2018
Turkish financial assets remain under stress. The level and the duration of adjustment in the economy will depend on the policy reactions in the short term. Inflation reached alarming levels on last year´s loose policies, high inertia and second round effects. Both fiscal policy and monetary policy should complement each other to fight against inflation.
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April 16, 2018
European Central Bank's monetary policy tone index
This Economic Watch introduces the European Central Bank's (ECB) Monetary Policy Tone index developed from ECB documents, using text mining and Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques. This analysis allows us to objectively identify and track the relevant thehmes within the ECB’s monetary policy discourse.
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April 10, 2018
Spain Economic Outlook. Second quarter 2018
The Spanish economy will grow 2.9% in 2018 and 2.5% in 2019, above those forecasted three months ago. The favorable external environment and the lower long-term financing cost offset the impact of economic policy uncertainty. This scenario is consistent with the creation of one million jobs and the reduction of the unemployment rate below 14%.
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March 27, 2018
China | 'Trading' blows with the U.S.
This watch examines the potential effects of the ongoing US-China trade clash on the Chinese economy. At its current stage, given a trade skirmish rather than a full-blown trade war, the downside risk to the Chinese economy seems contained. However, the Middle Kingdom stands to take a deeper hit in the event of a protracted trade war, the likelihood of which is still low.
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