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April 27, 2022
The Russian invasion of Ukraine and the associated severe sanctions represent a significant supply shock, with negative effects on both growth and inflation, through the commodity, financial volatility, confidence and supply chain channels. In the current context, uncertainty is exceptionally high.
March 9, 2020
The economists who attempt to predict the consequences of interactions between events, policies and institutions are storytellers. Stories that interpret and define economic reality, such as the epidemic triggered by COVID-19.
January 13, 2020
In a recent BBVA Research publication, we presented an economic policy uncertainty index based on the content published in the main national newspapers. What lessons about the current economic situation does the index, which is broken down by subject, offer?
October 18, 2019
More evident negative effects of worsening global demand and uncertainty on exports and investment explain the downward revision of growth in 2020. Further monetary easing and slightly expansive fiscal policy could help to halt deteriorating confidence and to underpin spending, with increasing divergence across countries.
February 26, 2018
Following the marked increase seen in 2009 (to around 9% of GDP), household savings have fallen almost to all-time lows (3.7% at the end of 2017). This has led to concerns due to the possible vulnerability of households and continued growth in consumption over the next few years.
