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August 1, 2024
Peru | Slight drop in core inflation would be insufficient for a new rate cut
The inflation rate for July was 0.24% MoM. This outcome is attributed to the increase in prices of food items such as chicken, corn, and potatoes, as well as higher transportation costs driven by the seasonal impact of national holidays and rising fuel prices. The YoY rate stood at 2.1%, within the target range of the BCRP.
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July 1, 2024
Peru | Core inflation refuses to drop, limiting room for rate cuts
June inflation was 0.12% MoM. The result for the month is explained by the increase in the prices of foods such as fish and potatoes, moderated by the decrease in the prices of chicken, some fruits, and fuel. The year-on-year rate was 2.3% (2.0% in May) within the Central Bank's target range.
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June 28, 2024
Colombia | Let us not allow economic imbalances derail us
There are a wide number of important economic indicators that are not broadly disseminated when we refer to the economic situation and its forecasts. In this opportunity, we will focus on the most relevant macroeconomic balances: external and fiscal.
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June 19, 2024
Argentina Economic Outlook. June 2024
After 6 months in office, the government has made significant progress in improving the fiscal balance, which in turn resulted in a reduction of monetary issuance and a deceleration of inflation. The challenge now is to consolidate the fiscal surplus and dismantle FX-market restrictions to foster sustainable growth.
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June 17, 2024
Peru | GDP recovers in April and grows 5.3%: a positive surprise
GDP expanded 5.3% YoY in April. This result was influenced by the fact that some activities were affected by two more days of productive activity given that Easter was celebrated in April last year, while this year it was scheduled in March.
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May 15, 2024
Peru | GDP falls 0.3% in March, a negative surprise for the market
GDP contracted 0.3% YoY in March. This result was influenced by the fact that some activities were affected by two fewer days of productive activity given that Easter was scheduled on March 28 and 29 in 2024, while in 2023 it was celebrated on April 6 and 7. This effect will be reversed next month.
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April 16, 2024
Mexico | Formal Employment Stalls Growth in March ...
Formal employment in Mexico showed null monthly variation in March 2024, reflecting a more pronounced slowdown than expected in the year's first quarter. In March, it grew below expectations, partly attributable to the effect of Easter.
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March 6, 2024
Spain Economic Outlook. March 2024
GDP growth in Spain for 2024 is revised upwards from 1.5 % to 2.1 %. In 2025, the advance would be reduced by 0.5 pp with respect to the previous scenario, to 2.0 %. The need to initiate the adjustment in public accounts and the greater weakness expected in the Eurozone economy explain the deterioration in the outlook.
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