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March 26, 2020
When will the U.S. economy recover from the infection?
The current crisis represents an unprecedented risk to the U.S. economy as the fallout from the coronavirus has created a confluence of supply- and demand-side shocks coupled with a financial meltdown.
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July 23, 2019
Mexico | The gasoline shortage crisis: A Big Data analysis
An analysis of the POS operations in gas stations in the Valle de Mexico metro-area are analyzed by day and hour. The crisis began at noon on Tuesday January 8, lasted 13 days, ended on January 20, 16% more gasoline was loaded per operation, and the purchase was increased up to 400% at late night and in the early morning.
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October 29, 2018
Some keys to the Italian crisis
The fact that investors and the European Commission have turned the spotlight on the Italian economy as a result of Italy's presenting a budget with a public deficit target of a seemingly moderate 2.4% of GDP may seem paradoxical if certain differentiating factors that have accompanied this crisis are not properly understood.
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July 9, 2018
The current expansion of the Spanish Economy
Since 2014, Spain has been growing at rates higher than those of most other European countries. During these years, Spain has recovered the competitiveness lost before the crisis. Inflation, unit labour costs and mark-ups have performed better than in the euro area as a whole, resulting in strong export growth. In 2017, exports were 35 per cent above the 2007 levels.
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June 4, 2018
Italy and the euro
The trigger leading to the sharp market reaction was on the one hand the manifesto of the coalition between the Five Star Movement (M5S) and the League, which included disproportionate fiscal expansion. All Italian parties had made extravagant fiscal promises, but had not envisaged sticking to them when forming a government.
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May 7, 2018
No gain without pain
Structural reforms since they usually involve a transfer of income that leads to the groups negatively affected mobilising to prevent them. Governments then have to decide how to manage that pain and when: with a large number of measures concentrated into a short time-span, perhaps taking advantage of the mandate afforded by a crisis.
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December 4, 2017
Causes of change in inequality of consumption
Inequality in Spanish household income has increased during the crisis. However, in terms of consumption, inequality decreased. Accordingly, while wealthier families reduced spending by 17.2% between 2007 and 2015, those economically disadvantaged reduced it only by 7.6%.
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November 17, 2017
The future of banking in Europe: Drivers and consequences of further consolidation
Some voices are defending the need for further consolidation as a way of fixing the problems remaining in the European banking system. While further consolidation has some advantages, it also implies some drawbacks and costs. This paper discusses the implications of consolidation for financial stability, solvency, efficiency, competition, digitalization and systemic risk.
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