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February 17, 2025
GDP grew 1.7% in 2024, led by domestic demand (+2.2%). Private consumption (1.6%) was driven by a rebound in durable goods and services, while fixed investment (3.0%) grew due to machinery, equipment, and civil works. In 2025, growth is expected at 2.5%, with better financial conditions but fiscal and global risks.
February 7, 2025
Colombia's demographic shift will reshape key sectors. Declining birth rates and a growing elderly population impact education, employment, healthcare, and consumption. Demand for long-term care, automation in labor markets, and adaptations in housing and financial products for retirement are on the rise.
December 23, 2024
Activity returned to strong growth in the third quarter (0.8% YoY), driven by domestic demand. Consumption offset the sluggishness of investment and net external demand, which made a negative contribution to growth. GDP growth was driven by productivity, as hours worked grew by only 0.2%.
November 19, 2024
Colombia's economy advanced in Q3 2024, with investment outpacing GDP and service exports reaching record highs. Private consumption showed a mixed dynamic, while public consumption detracted from growth. The GDP growth projection for 2024 remains at 2.0%.
November 15, 2024
Consumption in Colombia mirrors demographic and geographic shifts. With smaller households, an aging population, and healthier choices, spending on health and fresh foods rises, while intermediate cities gain economic importance. However, low savings limit future consumption potential.
October 30, 2024
Economic activity grew strongly again in the third quarter (0.8% QoQ), driven by domestic demand. Consumption would have offset the sluggishness in investment. The contribution of net external demand was slightly negative. GDP growth was due to higher productivity, as hours worked increased by 0.2%.
August 16, 2024
Colombia's GDP grew 2.1% year-on-year in Q2 2024, exceeding the 0.8% growth in Q1. Domestic demand and investment showed signs of recovery, with household consumption up 1.5% and investment up 4.3%. A 1.8% growth is expected for 2024.
June 13, 2024
We summarize the recent development of the Chinese economy and highlight the unbalanced economic structure. Risks include the housing market, geopolitics, deflation and unbalanced economic structure. We also analyze the ongoing fiscal and monetary policy coordination to stimulate growth.
May 24, 2024
Last week's GDP release, showing a 0.7% YoY growth, raised several points for analysis: the dynamics of GDP per capita in pesos, the importance of the housing sector, the boost in services exports, the performance of domestic demand, and future signals.
May 15, 2024
The GDP grew by 0.7% YoY in the first quarter. The growth slowed down, with March being the month with the least activity among the three months. Domestic demand was the main source of the low growth. The performance of fixed investment and the manufacturing industry remains concerning.
