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We summarize the recent development of the Chinese economy and highlight the unbalanced economic structure. Risks include the housing market, geopolitics, deflation and unbalanced economic structure. We also analyze the ongoing fiscal and monetary policy coordination to stimulate growth.
Last week's GDP release, showing a 0.7% YoY growth, raised several points for analysis: the dynamics of GDP per capita in pesos, the importance of the housing sector, the boost in services exports, the performance of domestic demand, and future signals.
The GDP grew by 0.7% YoY in the first quarter. The growth slowed down, with March being the month with the least activity among the three months. Domestic demand was the main source of the low growth. The performance of fixed investment and the…
Presentation held at the seminar at Bilkent University about the use of Big Data and Artificial Intelligence for economic analysis.
In March, the Big Data Consumption and Investment Indicators anticipate that domestic demand will have recovered in the first quarter of the year.
The growth of the Colombian economy was exceptionally low in 2023, registering at 0.6%. The primary culprit for this outcome was the steep decline in investment. Concerns extend beyond the short term, as the low investment rates will constrain the future productive capacity of the economy and curtail its competitiveness.
The Colombian economy expanded by 0.6% in 2023. The deceleration accentuated in the second half. Domestic demand contracted by 3.8%, weighed down by a decline in investment and the modest increase in private consumption. The external sector propelled the GDP, aided by a reduction in imports and the resilience of exports.
According to the BBVA Big Data Consumption Tracker, in December, the real annual variation in consumption was 5.1%, moderating compared to November. At the seasonally adjusted level, there was a monthly contraction of 0.6%.
2023 GDP growth concluded at 5.2%, in line with expectation and higher than 3% in 2022. We provide growth and policy outlook of China in 2024.
At this time, talks on the minimum wage increase for the year 2024 have already begun and this decision affects formal workers directly and indirectly all workers, as the minimum wage is fundamental to the country's economy
Presentation for the Conference on Real-Time Data Analysis, Methods, and Applications hosted by Bank of Spain. We apply National accounting principles to obtain real-time, high-frequency Big Data consumption indicators with many applications.
The BBVA Research Big Data Consumption Indicator reported a drop of (-)0.5% MoM in September, with real figures adjusted for seasonality.
