Filter all of our publications to find the ones you are most interested in by content language, date, geography and/or topic.
Sort our publications chronologically from newest to oldest, regardless of geography and/or topic matter.
Sort publications according to the number of time reads by our users, regardless of geography and/or topic matter.
June 20, 2019
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is a very important variable for the performance of the economy. It is investment that generates jobs and, according to most academic studies, stimulates greater economic growth.
November 30, 2018
The question with which I begin this column has two messages at its core: trust in Colombia exists at the international and local level and we must maintain that in the coming years. Maintaining trust is an ongoing process and things need to be done every day to achieve it.
May 7, 2018
Following a good 2017, the global economic outlook for this year and next remain positive, but there is also a long list of uncertainties, to which has recently, and forcefully, been added the threat of escalating protectionism.
March 8, 2018
We build a real-time, high-frequency Corruption Perception Index based on Google Trends data. It shows that the worldwide perception of corruption has been increasing since 2009, with significant heterogeneity across countries. Focusing in the case of Brazil, we show that a higher perception of corruption reduces both government approval ratings and confidence indexes.
November 24, 2017
Global GDP growth slowed slightly in 3Q to 0.9% QoQ, but our BBVA-GAIN model suggests the solid global recovery continues in 4Q (1% QoQ). Confidence indicators improved further while industrial output and retail sales moderated in 3Q and global trade provided further signals of stabilization. Global inflation remained stable in October, accelerating in EM but slowing in DM
October 18, 2017
The available data points to a slight pick-up in GDP growth in 3Q17 of around 0.5% QoQ, SWDA. This estimate is likely to result from new momentum in investment and the lively levels of both exports and tourism. However, these may be counteracted by a less bullish performance of private consumption and an uptick in imports.
February 20, 2017
The consumer confidence index fell by 26% in annual terms during January 2017, which represents the biggest annual contraction in the history of the index. More negative sentiments on both the current and future economic situation of the country were the main drivers behind the January’s sharp annual drop in the consumer confidence index
July 29, 2016
In July, even though both industry and consumer confidence fell (-1,0 y -3,5 pp, respectively), the optimism levels are still higher than the pre-crisis figures. This time, agent expectatives deterioration was caused, in equal measures, by domestic and external factors.
June 29, 2016
Despite the improvement in industry and consumer confidence in June (2,1 y 0,6 puntos, respectively) the balance in the second quarter showed mixed signals. Regarding consumers, confidence improved progressively, whereas in terms of industry, only the last month was positive. All in all, confidence remains above pre-crisis levels.
May 30, 2016
Opposing movements in the confidence indicators were observed in May. That of the consumers grew (1,3 pp) because of the improved expectatives about the economic situation and unemplopyment. That of the industries fell (2,0 pp) principally due to the less positive production expectatives. All in all, confidence remains above pre crisis levels.
March 30, 2016
Despite mixed signals in march, both household and industry confidence fell slightly during the first quarter (-2,1 y -4,1 pp on average). All in all, confidence levels continue to surpass pre crisis levels, which reinforces BBVA Research's diagnostic, pointing at a continued economic growth in the start of 2016.
February 26, 2016
Despite household and industry confidence indicators diminishing in February, the moderation in terms of optimism was lower than the one observed at the beginning of the year. Unemployment expectatives explain the fall in consumer confidence, while expectatives concerning order and inventory portfolios illustrate the evolution in industry confidence.
