Bottlenecks
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May 9, 2024
Global | Inflation and Bottlenecks Chartbook. March 2024
The disinflation process stalled in the first quarter in the U.S. and in April in the Eurozone (EZ). Additionally, most countries seem stuck with high services prices. Disruptions in shipping routes continued, but without wreaking havoc in supply chains.
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March 20, 2024
Global | Inflation and Bottlenecks Chartbook. February 2024
Inflation moderated less than expected in the first two months of ‘24 constrained by the modest decline in services. Our supply bottlenecks indicators inched up in February 2024 but remain at very low levels.
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January 29, 2024
Global | Inflation and Bottlenecks Chartbook. December 2023
The downward trend in core inflation persisted in December, helped by a decline in core goods inflation. Headline inflation increased due to base effects. Geopolitical risk in Middle East East worsened, in turn pushing up freight costs. Our supply bottlenecks indicators inched up in December but remain at low levels.
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January 8, 2024
Global | Economic outlook for 2024
The economy in general should start 2024 much stronger than expected a year ago after outperforming expectations in 2023. The risks facing the global economy must not materialize for the year to end up better than expected a few quarters ago.
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December 22, 2023
Global | Inflation and Bottlenecks November 2023
Inflation pressure continued easing across the board, although core CPI remains high. Bottleneck indicators signal absence of disruptions, although some container freights have rebounded, reflecting the problems in the Red Sea.
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November 29, 2023
Global | Inflation and Bottlenecks October 2023
Inflation surprised to the downside across major economies in October. Besides a favorable base effect and lower energy, reassuringly, services inflation is beginning to ease as well, in both, the US and the eurozone. Meanwhile, bottlenecks seem to be over.
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November 17, 2023
Spain | Consumption Outlook. November 2023
The recovery in private consumption is losing momentum, dropping from an annual 5.9% in the 2021-2022 biennium to 2.0% in 2023-2024. The increase in financing costs counteracts the modest rise in income, net financial wealth, and household expectations.
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November 15, 2023
Spain | La Rioja Economic Outlook 2023
BBVA Research forecasts GDP growth in La Rioja of 2.3% in 2023. Although the scenario going forward deteriorates, the recovery will continue, and GDP growth of 1.8% is expected in 2024. 5,700 jobs could be created in the 2023-2024 biennium.
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