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May 14, 2024

China | A reversion of Balance of Payments: from pandemic to post-pandemic era

We summarize China’s Balance of Payments situation in 2023 post-pandemic time and compare it with the pandemic time; we also predict its trend in 2024.

May 17, 2021

China | 2021 outlook of external balance: will China’s BoP normalization come soon?

It is important to understand what was going on in the past year’s BoP abnormalities and to predict this year’s BoP items while investigating the sustainability of these abnormalities.

November 25, 2020

Mexico | Global crisis leads to current account reversal

In contrast to the current account deficit recorded in the third quarter of 2019, this indicator showed a surplus of USD 17.498 billion in the third quarter of 2020, mainly due to the much higher positive balance on non-oil goods.

July 18, 2019

Colombia Economic Outlook. Third Quarter 2019

Economic growth will continue to be led by investment in view of the expected stabilisation in consumption spending. We estimate GDP growth in 2019 and 2020 will be at 3.0% each year and inflation at 3.3% and 3.2%, respectively. The Central Bank will keep its interest rates stable for a long time.

January 24, 2018

Peru Economic Outlook. First quarter 2018

For 2018 we foresee GDP growing by around 3.5% (and 3.8% in 2019). The increase of just over a percentage point in growth will come about in a context in which the international panorama continues to be favourable for the Peruvian economy. On the domestic front, as well as the return to normal of weather conditions, there will be a fiscal stimulus.