Microeconomics

This week, BBVA Research published an analysis of private consumption in Colombia, covering topics from the impact of the pandemic to demographic trends shaping household spending. The report confirms that private consumption remains a fundamental pillar of the Colombian economy, with one of the highest GDP shares globally.

Despite uncertainty and high interest rates, investment remains strong in countries like the U.S. and France, especially in intellectual property and ICT, but not in Spain, Canada, and most emerging markets. GDP growth remains key, but digitalization and climate transition policies will drive future investment.

At the end of 2023 we find opposite results in the Real Estate market. Construction presents historical results, growth rates well above the average in different indicators. The housing market is contracting with figures as of November 2023. In both cases, we estimate that in 2024 both sectors will reverse the trends