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March 25, 2025
In 2025, GDP is expected to grow by 5.5%, driven by consumption and investment, within a context of disinflationary consolidation and fiscal-monetary discipline. However, two key challenges remain: maintaining fiscal austerity during an election year and making significant progress in normalizing the foreign exchange market
March 24, 2025
In the final quarter of 2024, Donald Trump’s return to power in the United States had a negative impact on the euro. Aggressive protectionist policies and increased fiscal stimulus in the country were expected to push the dollar higher.
March 21, 2025
Birth rates in Colombia have dropped to 1.6 children per woman, accelerating aging. This pressures pension and healthcare systems. Encouraging births without improving labor and care conditions is ineffective. Public policy must adjust with reforms to ensure sustainability and well-being.
March 21, 2025
Colombia’s automotive sector showed signs of recovery in 2024, with a 7.9% sales increase driven by utility vehicles and taxis. Domestic production declined significantly, while imports grew. Improved macroeconomic conditions are expected to further boost the sector in 2025 and 2026.
March 20, 2025
The BBVA Research Big Data Consumption Indicator reported zero growth (0.0% MoM) in February; year-on-year (YoY) spending on point-of-sale terminals grew 11.1%, bringing the average for the first two months of the year to 13.0% (vs. 9.9% on average for 2024).
March 20, 2025
In February, formal employment in Mexico slowed down due to uncertainty stemming from potential U.S. tariffs, negatively impacting business and consumer expectations. Nevertheless, real wages and the real wage bill continue to support consumption.
March 18, 2025
The Peruvian economy will grow 3.1% in 2025, 0.4 percentage points more than forecast in December. This change primarily reflects higher expected growth in the US and China and earlier and increased investment flows into some mining and infrastructure projects. Growth is projected to remain at 2.7% for 2026.
March 18, 2025
Using a panel data local projections model and controlling for firm characteristics, procurement bid attributes, and macroeconomic conditions, the study estimates the dynamic effects of procurement awards on new lending, a more precise measure than the change in the stock of credit.
March 17, 2025
GDP grew 4.1% year-on-year in January. By productive sector, the primary component stood out (up 4.4%) due to the strong expansion of the fishing sector and the resulting expansion of primary manufacturing. The non-primary component grew 3.2%.
March 17, 2025
GDP growth is expected to slow to 1.6% in 2025 and 1.8% in 2026, following three years of around 3% growth. The slowdown will be driven by tighter monetary conditions, a weaker fiscal impulse, and a less favorable global context, though the primary sector and labor market resilience will provide support.
March 17, 2025
Since his return to the White House, Donald Trump has been ramping up his protectionist agenda, reigniting uncertainty over trade and global growth. The increase in tariffs on imports of goods not only affects the US economy, but its repercussions extend worldwide.
