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November 22, 2024
Poverty in LATAM represents a complex and diverse challenge. On average, monetary poverty affects 37% of the population in Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru. A Multidimensional Poverty Index constructed for these countries identifies key deprivations linked to health coverage, economic dependency, and education.
November 22, 2024
Colombia's GDP grew 2.0% year-on-year in Q3 2024, driven by investment in civil works and machinery, though with moderate private consumption and a decline in public consumption. Growth is projected at 2.0% for 2024, with gradual acceleration in 2025, led by investment and goods consumption.
November 22, 2024
The BBVA Research Multidimensional Manufacturing Indicator fell (-)4.1% YoY in October, after the improvement recorded in the previous month; the year-on-year variation averages (-)2.8% for the first ten months of the year, 2.8 pp below the figure observed in the same period of the previous year.
November 22, 2024
During the week of November 12 to 18, the improvement trend in most spending indicators stopped. Growth rates have shown a similar behavior to that of the previous week, maintaining a negative gap with respect to the evolution observed in the rest of Spain.
November 21, 2024
The CBRT kept the policy rate at 50% with important changes in their communication, signaling an easing cycle as early as December. We believe the CBRT will be required to start with very cautious steps and expect the first rate cut in December with 100bps.
November 20, 2024
Growth outlook remained weak, while the demand indicators point to a slower-than-desired correction. Considering tight financial conditions and the gradual moderation in domestic demand, we expect the economic growth to reach 3.2% in 2024 but downside risks are increasing on our 2.7% growth forecast for 2025.
November 20, 2024
Tourism in Colombia hit historic highs in 2023, marked by significant growth in international visitors, revenues, and employment. A diversified offer and domestic tourism drive the sector, yet challenges in infrastructure and sustainability demand focus to unlock its full potential.
November 19, 2024
Colombia's economy advanced in Q3 2024, with investment outpacing GDP and service exports reaching record highs. Private consumption showed a mixed dynamic, while public consumption detracted from growth. The GDP growth projection for 2024 remains at 2.0%.
November 18, 2024
Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential elections. What's more, the Republicans will hold the majority of both houses, allowing them to push through their fiscal plans. What promises has he made and, if he delivers them, how could they impact the global economy?
