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December 16, 2024
Global | Tariffs, a trade instrument or a covert financial strategy?
Both Mario Draghi in Europe and Donald Trump in the United States support the increase in tariffs on Chinese imports, but with objectives that seem to reflect different historical conceptions of the wealth of nations.
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December 13, 2024
Global | What are the most likely long term climate scenarios? Not the most ambitious
Climate scenarios can be clustered by temperature goals and ranked by the feasibility of the policies to achieve them. Under current commitments, scenarios projecting a 2.3°C–3.0°C temperature increase are the most plausible; more ambitious targets require policy shifts -and breakthrough innovation- that are less likely.
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December 10, 2024
Mexico | Foreign investment review: strategic oportunity in the USMCA
Tensions surrounding the growing Chinese investment in Mexico present an opportunity to strengthen its regulatory framework for foreign investment review, and for the country to influence decision-making on the issue within the North American region.
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December 3, 2024
Mexico | Yearbook of Migration and Remittances 2024
Book product of a collaboration between the National Population Council (CONAPO), BBVA Foundation and BBVA Research. This twelfth edition presents in ten chapters the main data and indicators on migration, human mobility and remittances on a regional and global scale, with emphasis on Mexico.
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December 2, 2024
Mexico | Remittances total 5 falls in 2024, contract 1.6% in October
The information is as of the close of October 31, 2024, before the presidential elections in the United States were held and President Trump's victory was announced. Therefore, there is no possible "Trump" effect in this data.
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November 29, 2024
Global | COP29: A Bitter Sweet Symphony
COP29 reflects that multilateralism in climate action is (hardly) alive, with (small) steps like (minimal) financing agreements for developing economies or (delayed) carbon credit international exchange operations. All in all a small step forward, insufficient to bridge the gap to the Paris Agreement goals.
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November 26, 2024
Mexico | Lower surplus reflects higher economic dynamism in 3Q24
The current account surplus in the third quarter of 2024 was lower than the corresponding figure for the same period of 2023 mainly due to the deficit in the balance on non-oil related goods.
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November 8, 2024
Mexico | Trade protectionism and economic risks for Mexico
Given more synchronization of economic growth and inflation between Mexico and the US due to the presence of Global Value Chains (GVC), the cost of protectionist measures in the latter (the imposition of a 10% universal tariff on all imported products) on activity, inflation and welfare of the former would be amplified.
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November 1, 2024
Mexico | Volatility in remittances, fall 4.6%. At risk due to US elections?
Remittances show high volatility in the first 9 months of 2024: 5 months with growth and 4 months with falls. Possibly, the tense electoral environment in the US has an impact on the flow of new migrants and the migrant population residing in that country.
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October 2, 2024
Mexico | Bonanza: Exchange rate boosts 17% real growth in remittances in August
Large fluctuations in the USD/MXN exchange rate impact Mexican migrants' decisions on the amount to remit. In August, the peso depreciated 5.4%, which boosted a 9.3% growth in remittances to Mexico in dollars and an increase converted into pesos of 17.0% in real terms.
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