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March 13, 2025
Colombia Economic Outlook. March 2025
Colombia’s economy will grow 2.5% in 2025 and 2.9% in 2026, driven by consumption and investment. Inflation will continue declining, though housing and energy costs will remain rigid. Monetary policy will gradually lower rates, while the external deficit will widen due to rising imports and lower remittance inflows.
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March 7, 2025
Export Concentration and Economic Complexity in Türkiye and Mexico
We integrate our findings in export concentration, value added in exports, and economic complexity for Türkiye and Mexico. While both countries have increased their complexity through time, targeted fiscal incentives directed towards competitive industries may help attain more complex products in exports.
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March 4, 2025
Global | EUR/USD Equilibrium Exchange Rate: A Long-Term Perspective
We estimate the EUR/USD equilibrium exchange rate using a holistic approach that distinguishes between the strengths of the euro and the dollar. Our analysis shows that the current misalignment is due to an overvalued dollar, while the euro remains close to equilibrium, with its role as a reserve currency slightly reduced.
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February 27, 2025
Mexico | Current account surplus reflects economic contraction in 4Q24
The current account surplus in the fourth quarter of 2024 was higher than the corresponding figure for the third quarter of 2024 mainly due to the surplus in the balance on non-oil related goods.
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February 19, 2025
Mexico | Temporary nature of textile tariffs must be enforced; emphasizing customs control
Mexico imposes temporary tariffs of 15 to 35% on 155 tariff items in the textile and clothing industry, modifies the Immex Decree to limit access in these sectors. Finally, it establishes a global rate of 19% on products imported through digital platforms from countries without a trade agreement, including China.
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February 7, 2025
Mexico | FDI increased in the manufacturing sector in 3Q24
As of the third quarter of 2024 (3Q24), the trade deficit is 11 billion dollars. In the same period, foreign direct investment (FDI) continues to flow to Mexico. Through 3Q24, the country has attracted 35.7 billion dollars, a slight increase of 1.5% compared to the same period of the previous year.
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February 7, 2025
Mexico | For now, Mexico is successful at avoiding tariffs
On Monday, February 3, the heads of state of Mexico and the US reached an agreement to put on hold for a month the imposition of tariffs that the White House pretended to apply to imports coming from Mexico.
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February 4, 2025
Mexico | Record in remittances: 64,745 million dollars in 2024, and dark spots for 2025
Mexico received 64,745 million dollars (md) in remittances in 2024, +2.3% compared to 2023 when 63,319 md were received. Remittances reach a new historical maximum in 2024 and accumulate a streak of 11 consecutive years of growth, which began in 2014.
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February 2, 2025
Mexico | 25% tariffs on Mexico: unlikely to be long-lasting
On February 1, the White House announced that it would impose tariffs of 25% on imports (not all imports, which leaves open the question of whether they will be selective) on Mexico and Canada and 10% on China (in addition to those already faced).
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