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    Published on Tuesday, November 13, 2018

    United States Economic Outlook. Fourth quarter 2018

    Summary

    Market volatility, rich equity valuations, inflationary pressures, a jolt of hawkish monetary policy and the length of the current expansion ratcheted up recessionary fears in 3Q18. Based on empirical evidence and our judgement on the potential for imbalances within the US economy, although the probability of recession within the next 12 months is edging up, it remains low

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    BBVA Research BBVA Research

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    Report (PDF)

    1811_Situacion_EstadosUnidos_4T18

    Spanish - November 13, 2018

    Report (PDF)

    1811_US_EconomicOutlook_4Q18

    English - November 13, 2018

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