U.S. | What’s happening with U.S. potential GDP growth?
Published on Friday, September 28, 2018
U.S. | What’s happening with U.S. potential GDP growth?
Summary
Capital stock, labor, and productivity do not show a significant increase following the recent fiscal stimulus. According to our forecast, potential output will grow 1.8% per year on average for the next 10 years. Potential GDP growth reached its peak in 2017, and thus monetary policy normalization is adequate.
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Authors
Kan Chen