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Published on Wednesday, January 30, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, January 31, 2019

U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. January 2019

The probability of a recession steadies after sharp rise at the end of 2018. Financial markets adjusts to dovish monetary policy shift and stable growth outlook. Fiscal policy risk increasing with divided White House and Congress. Pressures on corporate spreads ease, as perception of near-term downside risks decline.

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190130_US_RecessionRiskMonitor_Jan19 English January 30, 2019
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190207_US_RecessionRiskMonitor_Ene19 Spanish January 30, 2019
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