U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. January 2019
Published on Wednesday, January 30, 2019 | Updated on Thursday, January 31, 2019
U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. January 2019
Summary
The probability of a recession steadies after sharp rise at the end of 2018. Financial markets adjusts to dovish monetary policy shift and stable growth outlook. Fiscal policy risk increasing with divided White House and Congress. Pressures on corporate spreads ease, as perception of near-term downside risks decline.
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Topics
Authors
Nathaniel Karp
Boyd Nash-Stacey