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Published on Thursday, December 20, 2018

U.S. Recession Risk Monitor. December 2018

The probability of a recession is increasing. Correction in financial markets as participants adjust monetary policy and growth expectations. Treasury yield curve closer to inversion. Increase in corporate spreads highlight downside risks for nonfinancial businesses. Economic fundamentals for households and financial institutions remain solid.

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181220_US_RecessionRiskMonitor_Dic18_esp Spanish December 20, 2018
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Presentation (PDF)

181214_US_RecessionRiskMonitor_Dec18 English December 20, 2018
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