U.S. Recession Probability Rises to 25%
Published on Monday, February 8, 2016 | Updated on Monday, February 8, 2016
U.S. Recession Probability Rises to 25%
Summary
U.S. has a 25% probability of going into a recession in the next 12 months, based on our estimate. Our model balances factors from financial markets and the manufacturing sector. Deteriorating profits of S&P 500 companies may reflect a weakening global economy
Geographies
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- Global
Topics
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- Macroeconomic Analysis
Authors
Kan Chen