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Published on Thursday, September 24, 2020

U.S. Elections Chartbook. September 2020

President’s approval ratings continue recovering, but remain below pre-Covid levels. With most states taking steps to accommodate the Covid-19 crisis, 78% of voters will have the option to cast an absentee ballot without any limitation.

Key points

  • Key points:
  • Considering trends in key swing states, the presidential election remains tight without a clear favorite
  • Trump and Biden are neck and neck in both campaign receipts and disbursements, albeit 58% of sectors are giving more to Trump’s campaign than Biden’s
  • According to our model, third-party forecasts and the latest odds, Democrats are expected to win White House, keep control of House and narrowly win back Senate

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