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    Published on Monday, December 3, 2018 | Updated on Monday, December 3, 2018

    Turkey | Inflation surprised on the downside

    Summary

    CPI fell by 1.44% in November, lower than (consensus -0.3% vs. BBVA-Research estimates 0.1%). Annual CPI declined to 21.6% from 25.2% in October. Reversal of discount campaigns, tax incentives and unfavorable base effects could bring a transitory increase in CPI in 1Q19; but given the recent supportive external financial conditions, risks are cumulating on the downside.

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    Authors

    Adem Ileri BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Serkan Kocabas
    Seda Guler Mert BBVA Research - Chief Economist
    Alvaro Ortiz BBVA Research - Head of Analysis with Big Data

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    Report (PDF)

    1218_Inf_Pulse

    English - December 3, 2018

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