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Published on Friday, May 18, 2018

Turkey | Economic activity moderates

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Summary

The Industrial production (IP) grew by 7.6% yoy in calendar adjusted terms (Consensus: 7.2% vs. BBVA Research: 6.5%) in March. The average IP growth rate reached 9.8% in 1Q, moderating from 10.7% in 4Q17. Our monthly GDP indicator (GBTRGDPY Index at Bloomberg) nowcasts 6.4% yoy growth in 1Q (96% of information). We maintain our 2018 GDP growth estimate at 4%.