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    Published on Tuesday, March 3, 2020

    'The law of silence' and the potential of the Spanish economy

    Summary

    Since the beginning of the recovery, GDP growth in Spain (2.6% per year) has been one of the highest among the large developed economies and consistently higher than that seen for the EMU as a whole (1.8%), but is this a valid and sustainable point of reference for the coming years?

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • The answer depends on whether this performance has been due to a temporary factor or whether it represents a structural improvement in growth capacity.
    • In the case of the Spanish economy, there have been several temporary factors.
    • There are also structural changes—shared by other countries around us—that put downward pressure on growth.

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    Authors

    Miguel Cardoso BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Press article (PDF)

    MiguelCardoso_La_ley_del_silencio_y_el_potencial_de_la_economia_espanola_Invertia_ElEspanol_WB.pdf

    Spanish - March 3, 2020

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