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    Published on Monday, January 20, 2025 | Updated on Tuesday, January 21, 2025

    Spain | Spain - U.S. trade relations in the face of possible tariff increases

    Summary

    The direct impact on the Spanish economy of a possible increase in tariffs on U.S. imports is expected to be limited, given the relatively lower trade exposure with respect to the rest of the Eurozone countries. However, there are regions, sectors and companies that may be particularly affected.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Limited direct impact: Low exposure of Spain to US tariffs compared to other Eurozone countries.
    • High sectoral risk: Sectors such as semi-manufacturing, capital goods, and food most affected.
    • Exports by region: Valencia, Madrid, Basque Country, Catalonia and Andalusia, main exposed regions.
    • Services and tourism: Positive impact due to a strong dollar and the U.S. as a major source of tourists.
    • Foreign direct investment: The U.S. accounted for 27% of FDI in 2023; Madrid, Valencia and Catalonia stand out as the main destinations.

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Mario García Larrainzar BBVA Research - Economist
    Javier Muñoz Gijón BBVA Research - Economist
    Pedro Santillán Baldeón BBVA Research - Economist
    Miguel Cardoso BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Presentation (PDF)

    La-relacion-comercial-Espana-EEUU-ante-el-posible-aumento-de-aranceles_edi.pdf

    Spanish - January 20, 2025

    Podcast (MP3)

    Donald Trump: analysis of the impacts of his reelection

    Spanish - January 20, 2025

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