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    Published on Friday, June 12, 2020

    Big Data techniques used

    Spain | Impact of COVID-19 on consumption in real time and high definition

    Summary

    De-escalation has moderated the reduction in consumption. The fall in card spending, which was more than -60% year-on-year in mid-April, slowed to -13% in the first week of June due to the more favourable trend in purchases with Spanish cards.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Spanish card spending slowed down in provinces that reached phase 2 on June 1st, but lost momentum in those that started phase 2 on May 25th and compounded their decline in those that remained in phase 1.
    • Spending increased in 29 provinces in the week of June 1-7 compared to the same period in 2019.
    • Food share in card spending has tripled since the declaration of the state of alarm to account for half of face-to-face consumption. In contrast, fashion, bars and restaurants, transport and travel have lost relevance.
    • During the period of confinement, cash withdrawals fell less than card purchases. As de-escalation progresses, the ratio of cash withdrawals to card purchases returns to the figures of the beginning of the year.
    • The change of phase does not seem to explain the differential evolution of cash withdrawals: provinces in phase 2 already had a better evolution of withdrawals than those in phase 1 before the phase jump.

    Geographies

    Topics

    Authors

    Juan Ramón García BBVA Research - Principal Economist
    Tomasa Rodrigo BBVA Research - Lead Economist
    Pep Ruiz BBVA Research - Principal Economist

    Documents and files


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    Presentation (PDF)

    gasto_tarjetas_BBVA_semana_del_1_al_7_de_junio.pdf

    Spanish - June 12, 2020

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