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    Published on Friday, May 15, 2020

    Spain | A turning point in activity?

    Summary

    Economic activity in Spain is seeing a historically sharp drop. The 5.2% decline in GDP in the first quarter of the year can be explained only if we consider that it dropped by 30%–40% over the last two weeks of March.

    Key points

    • Key points:
    • Restrictions placed on activity were even stricter at the start of April. This could have caused GDP to drop by up to 50% at the beginning of the second quarter.
    • The available data suggest that although demand remains constrained, it has not worsened.
    • Income support measures have helped sustain expenditure on food, health and utilities.
    • On a positive note, it is worth highlighting that job destruction has not been proportional to the decline in GDP.

    Geographies

    Authors

    Miguel Cardoso BBVA Research - Chief Economist

    Documents and files

    Press article (PDF)

    Miguel_Cardoso_Punto_de_inflexion_en_la_actividad_Expansion_WB.pdf

    Spanish - May 15, 2020

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